000 FZPN03 KNHC 190951 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC TUE JUL 19 2022 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 21. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 18.6N 114.7W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N111W TO 17N115W TO 19N116W TO 21N114W TO 20N111W TO 18N111W SE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 17N106W TO 14N110W TO 16N116W TO 21N117W TO 23N110W TO 17N106W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.9N 118.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150 NM IN NE QUADRANT...120 NM IN NW AND SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM IN SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N116W TO 18N119W TO 21N121W TO 22N119W TO 22N116W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N115W TO 17N122W TO 22N123W TO 25N117W TO 21N111W TO 15N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.7N 123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N122W TO 22N124W TO 24N124W TO 24N123W TO 22N122W TO 21N122W 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N121W TO 19N127W TO 26N126W TO 26N120W TO 23N119W TO 18N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.3N 124.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.7N 126.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.0N 129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.7N 132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N120W TO 00N112W TO 00N91W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE JUL 19... .T.S. ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 111W-117W. .TROPICAL WAVE...ALONG 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 09N-11N BETWEEN 96W-102W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 10N85W TO 09N105W AND THEN FROM 15N115W TO 13N130W. THE ITCZ BEGINS AT 13N130W AND EXTENDS TO 10N140W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION, SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 06N-11N WEST OF 133W AND FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 110W-117W. $$ .FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.