000
FZPN03 KNHC 190434
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE JUL 19 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.3N 113.6W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 19
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE  
WITHIN 17N110W TO 16N112W TO 18N115W TO 19N115W TO 20N111W TO 
17N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 15N106W TO 12N111W TO 18N116W TO 23N111W TO 20N107W TO 
15N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 18.7N 115.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.4N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM IN NE QUADRANT...150 NM IN SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 120 
NM IN SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N114W 
TO 17N117W TO 18N119W TO 21N119W TO 21N116W TO 18N114W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N113W TO 
18N122W TO 23N120W TO 26N117W TO 21N110W TO 14N113W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.3N 122.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER 120 NM IN NE QUADRANT...105 NM IN SE AND NW 
QUADRANTS...AND 90 NM IN SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N120W TO 20N121W TO 20N123W TO 22N124W TO 
23N121W TO 21N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N116W TO 18N125W TO 21N126W TO 
26N121W TO 23N117W TO 18N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.8N 
125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.3N 
128.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.0N 
131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.WITHIN 03.4S81W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N121W TO 03N96W TO 02N84W TO
03.4S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE JUL 19...

.HURRICANE ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 110W-116W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
10N85W TO 09N106W AND THEN FROM 15N116W TO 13N130W. THE ITCZ
BEGINS AT 13N130W AND EXTENDS TO 10N140W. ASIDE FROM THE 
CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION, 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 07N-11N WEST OF 129W
AND FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 110W-118W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.