000
FZPN03 KNHC 182211
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON JUL 18 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 20.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.2N 112.5W 986 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 18
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N109W TO 16N111W TO 17N114W TO 
21N113W TO 19N108W TO 17N109W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N105W TO 11N111W TO 20N115W TO 
23N112W TO 21N106W TO 14N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.1N 116.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 195 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 105 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N113W TO 16N117W TO 18N119W TO 
22N117W TO 21N113W TO 18N113W E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N108W TO 14N115W TO 17N120W TO 
24N119W TO 23N110W TO 17N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.8N 121.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N119W TO 19N120W TO 
20N123W TO 22N123W TO 23N120W TO 20N119W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N113W TO 
17N115W TO 17N125W TO 23N126W TO 25N117W TO 20N113W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ESTELLE NEAR 22.6N 125.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.4N 
128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.5N 
131.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S81W TO 03.4S120W TO 07N97W TO 01N81W TO 03.4S81W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S116W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO
01S118W TO 02S117W TO 03.4S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN SE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2150 UTC MON JUL 18...

HURRICANE ESTELLE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 
12N TO 19N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 07N100W TO 10N106W AND THEN FROM 
14N114W TO 11N122W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE  
FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W...FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 
115W AND 134W...AND FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.