000 FZPN03 KNHC 170400 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC SUN JUL 17 2022 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 17. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 18. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 19. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 14.7N 105.0W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 17 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N103W TO 12N106W TO 15N107W TO 18N105W TO 16N101W TO 13N103W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N99W TO 10N103W TO 11N105W TO 16N102W TO 17N100W TO 11N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 15.9N 108.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N103W TO 14N111W TO 17N111W TO 21N107W TO 19N105W TO 15N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 03S81W TO 03.4S120W TO 08N130W TO 15N102W TO 08N102W TO 03S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.0N 112.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N105W TO 14N117W TO 21N117W TO 25N112W TO 25N108W TO 16N105W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 01S89W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N123W TO 18N104W TO 04N82W TO 01S89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.3N 117.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 20.4N 122.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 22.3N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N133W TO 08N133W TO 09N111W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE. .WITHIN 13N136W TO 09N140W TO 22N140W TO 20N135W TO 13N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N137W TO 10N140W TO 24N140W TO 21N136W TO 19N135W TO 12N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N124W TO 29N125W TO 29N127W TO 30N128W TO 30N122W TO 29N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SUN JUL 17... .HURRICANE ESTELLE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N94W...AND THEN FROM 12N110W TO 11N128W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N134W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 13N BETWEEN 78W AND 96W...AND FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.