000 FZPN03 KNHC 160948 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC SAT JUL 16 2022 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 13.6N 103.1W 1001 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N102W TO 13N104W TO 16N103W TO 17N100W TO 15N100W TO 12N102W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N98W TO 08N102W TO 10N104W TO 17N100W TO 16N98W TO 10N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 15.0N 105.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N103W TO 12N107W TO 16N108W TO 18N106W TO 16N100W TO 15N103W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N100W TO 09N103W TO 12N106W TO 15N102W TO 16N100W TO 11N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 16.4N 109.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N105W TO 14N109W TO 15N113W TO 21N110W TO 21N106W TO 17N105W... INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N102W TO 06N113W TO 11N115W TO 13N109W TO 19N104W TO 10N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.6N 114.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.1N 118.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.9N 123.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 01S106W TO 00N134W TO 07N127W TO 07N119W TO 01S106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S81W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N132W TO 10N131W TO 11N114W TO 03.4S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S81W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N134W TO 07N131W TO 13N102W TO 03.4S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .WITHIN 28N121W TO 26N126W TO 27N129W TO 30N127W TO 30N119W TO 28N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29.5N122.5W TO 29.5N125W TO 30N125.5W TO 30N122W TO 29.5N122.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N124W TO 26N125W TO 27N129W TO 30N130W TO 30N122W TO 27N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N136W TO 08N140W TO 22N140W TO 20N135W TO 16N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N133W TO 10N140W TO 23N140W TO 22N135W TO 18N133W TO 14N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT JUL 16... .T.S. ESTELLE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 12N98W...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N107W TO 11N123W TO 09N131W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N131W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W...AND 126W AND FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 134W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.