000
FZPN03 KNHC 070314
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 07 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.9N 111.3W 977 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 07 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 13N TO 
20N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 18.1N 116.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 18.7N 119.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 19.3N 122.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BONNIE NEAR 19.7N 126.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BONNIE NEAR 20.0N 
130.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BONNIE NEAR 20.2N 
136.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 112W AND 120W...AND S OF 02S BETWEEN 101W AND 
112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 02S106W TO 00N120W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 00N120W TO 03.4S112W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC THU JUL 7...

.HURRICANE BONNIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SE 
AND 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COSTA RICA NEAR 08N83W TO A 1008 
MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 09N95W TO 10N104W, THEN CONTINUES SW OF 
BONNIE FROM 12N113W TO 08N125W TO 10N140W, WHERE IT TRANSITIONS 
TO THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
SEEN ON EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ FROM 08N TO 12N W 
OF 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF BONNIE FROM 08N 
TO 11N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.