000
FZPN03 KNHC 060914
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED JUL 06 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 08.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 15.9N 108.3W 969 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 06 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.8N 112.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 14N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 108W AND 114W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 18.0N 117.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 
112W AND 120W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 19.3N 124.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BONNIE NEAR 20.0N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BONNIE NEAR 20.0N 
139.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 112W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...AND S OF 02S 
BETWEEN 102W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 02S106W TO 00N120W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED JUL 6...

.HURRICANE BONNIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COSTA RICA NEAR 09N84W TO 08N90W 
TO 09N100W, THEN CONTINUES SW OF BONNIE FROM 12N110W TO 09N120W 
TO 09N130W, WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ TO BEYOND 00N140W. 
A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 
10N BETWEEN 89W AND 92W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 89W AND 94W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN ON EITHER SIDE OF THE 
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ FROM 08N TO 12N W OF 120W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.