000
FZPN03 KNHC 060320
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 06 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 08.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 15.7N 107.1W 968 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 06 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.6N 110.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 17.7N 115.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 118W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 19.1N 122.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BONNIE NEAR 20.0N 129.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BONNIE NEAR 20.0N 
136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 112W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...AND S OF 02S 
BETWEEN 102W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 02S106W TO 00N120W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC WED JUL 6...

.HURRICANE BONNIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF
CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COSTA RICA NEAR 10N85W TO 08N90W 
TO 09N100W. THE MONSOON TROUGH CONTINUES SW OF BONNIE FROM 
12N110W TO 09N120W TO 09N130W, WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ 
TO BEYOND 07N140W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 
NOTED FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 87W AND 90W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 89W AND 94W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN W 
OF 127W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.