000
FZPN03 KNHC 052052
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 5 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 5.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL  6.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL  7.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 15.5N 105.7W 964 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 05 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N103W TO
14N104W TO 15N106W TO 17N106W TO 18N104W TO 16N103W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N103W TO 
13N105W TO 18N106W TO 19N105W TO 17N101W TO 14N103W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.3N 109.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N107W TO 15N109W TO 16N111W 
TO 18N110W TO 18N108W TO 16N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N108W TO 13N112W TO 16N114W TO 
22N110W TO 20N106W TO 14N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 17.4N 114.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N112W TO 16N114W TO 17N115W 
TO 19N115W TO 19N112W TO 17N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N112W TO 15N118W TO 19N119W TO 
22N116W TO 18N111W TO 14N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 18.8N 120.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 20.0N 127.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BONNIE NEAR 20.5N 133.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S113W TO 03.4S118W TO 02S118W TO 02S115W TO 
03S113W TO 03.4S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S101W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S119W TO 
03S113W TO 03S102W TO 03.4S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S101W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 
01S113W TO 02S109W TO 03.4S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN SE TO S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE JUL 5...

.HURRICANE BONNIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF
CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N95W AND FROM 11N107W TO 
09N123W. ITCZ FROM 09N123W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 81W AND 91W AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 
110W AND 130W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.