000
FZPN03 KNHC 051602
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 5 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 5.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL  6.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL  7.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 15.2N 104.3W 964 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 05 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
27 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N102W TO 14N104W TO 16N105W TO 
17N104W TO 17N102W TO 14N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N102W TO 13N104W TO 14N105W TO 
18N103W TO 16N100W TO 14N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.0N 108.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N107W TO 
15N109W TO 16N110W TO 18N109W TO 17N107W TO 15N107W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N107W TO 
14N111W TO 17N112W TO 21N109W TO 20N106W TO 14N107W...INCLUDING 
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.8N 112.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N112W TO 
16N114W TO 17N114W TO 19N113W TO 18N111W TO 15N112W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N112W TO 
16N118W TO 19N117W TO 21N113W TO 19N110W TO 14N112W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 18.2N 118.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 19.5N 125.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 20.4N 131.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.03 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S113W TO 03.4S119W TO 02S118W
TO 03S116W TO 02S114W TO 03.4S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S109W TO 03.4S119W TO 02S118W TO
02S114W TO 03S113W TO 03.4S109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S101W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO
01S113W TO 02S103W TO 03.4S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC TUE JUL 5...

.HURRICANE BONNIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N94W AND FROM 11N107W TO 
09N119W. ITCZ FROM 09N119W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
04N TO 09N BETWEEN 78W AND 89W AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.