000
FZPN03 KNHC 041551
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 4 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL  6.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 13.7N 99.0W 982 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...30
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N95W TO 13N97W TO 13N98W TO 14N99W TO 16N96W 
TO 14N95W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 12N96W TO 12N97W TO 15N98W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W TO 
12N96W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 15.1N 104.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N101W TO 14N103W 
TO 14N104W TO 16N105W TO 17N101W TO 15N101W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N101W TO 13N105W TO 
17N105W TO 18N102W TO 16N99W TO 13N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.0N 108.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N106W 
TO 15N109W TO 16N110W TO 18N109W TO 18N106W TO 16N106W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N106W TO 
15N111W TO 20N109W TO 20N106W TO 18N104W TO 14N106W...INCLUDING 
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.4N 112.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 17.6N 117.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 19.1N 124.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S114W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO
02S118W TO 02S115W TO 03.4S114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S105W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO
02S114W TO 03S106W TO 03.4S105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC MON JUL 4...

H. BONNIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG N OF 10N BETWEEN 
97W-103W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 10N90W...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N106W
TO 07N118W. ITCZ FROM 07N118W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 10N AND E OF 85W. SCATTERED SHOWERS 
WITHIN 200 NM N OF BOUNDARIES BETWEEN 114W AND 129W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.