000
FZPN03 KNHC 021535
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 2 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL  4.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 11.2N 86.4W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
02 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60
NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11.5N86W 
TO 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 12N87W TO 12N86.5W TO 11.5N86W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 11.7N 90.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N89W TO 11N91W TO 12N92W TO 13N91W TO 
13N89W TO 11N89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BONNIE NEAR 13.4N 96.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N93W TO 11N95W TO 13N98W TO 15N98W 
TO 16N95W TO 14N93W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 15.1N 102.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.0N 107.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BONNIE NEAR 16.6N 111.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 17N124W TO 16N125W TO 16N127W TO 19N127W TO 20N124W TO
17N124W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N130W TO 17N131W TO 18N132W TO
20N132W TO 20N130W TO 18N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N137W TO 16N138W TO 18N139W TO
20N137W TO 19N136W TO 17N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
NE TO E SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N116W TO 28N117W TO 30N119W TO
30N116W TO 28N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT JUL 2...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

T.S. BONNIE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 
11N E OF 88W.

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N89W TO 11N102W TO 08N112W TO 09N115W. 
ITCZ FROM 09N115W TO 14N124W AND FROM 13N128W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 
104W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 132W 
AND 136W. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.