000
FZPN03 KNHC 212212
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUN 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUN 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUN 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 12.5N 101.3W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN
21 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 12N101W TO 12N102W TO 12.5N101.5W TO 13N101.5W TO 
12.5N101W TO 12N101W NW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N99W TO 11N103W TO 13N103W TO 14N100W
TO 12N99W TO 11N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. WITHIN 11N99N TO 07N99W TO 06N102W TO 08N102W TO 11N102W 
TO 11N99W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 13.7N 104.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT... 60
NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 12N102W TO 11N104W TO 11N107W TO 16N107W TO 16N103W TO 
12N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 10N100W TO 09N106W TO 13N109W TO 16N108W TO 15N102W TO 
10N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.3N 107.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT... 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N105W TO 13N108W TO 15N109W TO 17N108W TO 
17N106W TO 14N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 11N106W TO 12N111W TO 18N110W TO 19N106W TO 
16N101W TO 11N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 16.6N 110.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 17.8N 112.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 19.2N 115.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 29N127W TO 29N130W TO 30N131W TO 30N124W TO 29N127W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N128W TO 27N133W TO 28N140W TO
30N140W TO 30N125W TO 27N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N131W TO 26N135W TO 26N140W TO
30N140W TO 30N127W TO 27N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.WITHIN 10N138W TO 09N140W TO 23N140W TO 21N136W TO 17N135W TO
10N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N136W TO 10N137W TO 08N140W TO
21N140W TO 17N136W TO 13N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03S102W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 02N128W TO 01N104W TO
03S102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S101W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N137W TO
03N131W TO 02N106W TO 03S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND SWELL.
48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S103W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 
00N132W TO 02N117W TO 03S103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2200 UTC TUE JUN 21...

.TROPICAL STORM CELIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 300 NM SW AND 
180 NM NW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
08N TO 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W AND ALSO SW OF CELIA FROM 
06N TO 10N BETWEEN 104W AND 109W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 99W AND 
104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 98W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN
99W AND 104W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 05N E OF 79W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 15N104W TO 11N123W TO 10N130W.
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE S OF 
TROUGH WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 08N124W TO 09N115W TO 10N112W
...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE ITCZ WEST OF 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.