000
FZPN03 KNHC 192216 AAA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUN 19 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUN 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUN 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUN 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.1N 112.4W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN
19 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...
60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N112W TO 18N112W 
TO 19N113W TO 20N113W TO 20N112W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N111W TO 16N117W TO 
21N121W TO 23N113W TO 20N110W TO 16N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLAS NEAR 19.2N 112.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 19N112W TO 
18N113W TO 19N114W TO 20N114W TO 20N112W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N112W TO 
17N116W TO 19N118W TO 21N118W TO 21N112W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 19.3N 
113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 18N114W
TO 18N116W TO 19N117W TO 21N115W TO 21N113W TO 18N114W WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N112W TO 16N117W TO
19N120W TO 21N120W TO 21N113W TO 17N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 19.6N 
115.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 19N115W
TO 19N117W TO 20N117W TO 21N117W TO 21N115W TO 19N115W WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. WITHIN 18N118W TO 19N120W TO 22N119W TO
22N117W TO 21N115W TO 18N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
DECAYING MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 19.9N 
116.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 12.7N 93.5W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUN 19 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 11N91W TO 10N93W TO 12N94W TO 13N93W TO 
13N91W TO 11N91W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 11.5N 96.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 11N94W TO 
10N96W TO 13N98W TO 14N96W TO 13N94W TO 11N94W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 11.6N 98.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 12.1N 100.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N97W TO 
10N101W TO 12N103W TO 14N101W TO 15N99W TO 12N97W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 13.0N 103.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 14.7N 106.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 16.3N 108.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
15N94W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N97W TO 16N96W TO
16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N97W TO 14N98W TO 15N98W TO
16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.WITHIN 29N120W TO 29N122W TO 30N123W TO 30N119W TO 29N120W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N124W TO 29N127W TO 30N128W TO 
30N121W TO 29N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N124W TO 27N127W TO 28N134W TO 
30N135W TO 30N123W TO 28N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2200 UTC SUN JUN 19...

.TROPICAL STORM BLAS...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN
108W AND 113W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 13N95W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 12N93W TO 14N95W.

.NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 
94W AND 96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON THROUGH AXIS EXTENDS SW OF BLAS FROM 11N121W TO 
09N134W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N134W TO BEYOND 08N140W. 
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH BLAS AND CELIA...SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 128W AND 130W AND  
BETWEEN 131W AND 133W....ALSO WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 14N108W 
TO 11N113W TO 10N118W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.