000
FZPN03 KNHC 191616
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN JUN 19 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.0N 113.0W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN
19 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 18N111W TO 18N112W TO 19N113W TO 20N113W TO 20N112W TO 
18N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 16N110W TO 15N116W TO 22N121W TO 23N113W TO 20N109W TO 
16N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.0N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 19N112W TO 16N114W TO 17N116W TO 20N117W TO 21N114W TO 
19N112W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 15N113W TO 15N117W TO 21N120W TO 23N115W TO 19N111W 
TO 15N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 19.0N 
115.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 19.1N 
116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 17N115W
TO 16N119W TO 20N121W TO 22N117W TO 20N115W TO 17N115W NW TO N 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST- TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 19.3N 
118.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 12.8N 92.4W 1008 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUN 19 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N89W TO 10N90W TO 10N92W TO 
13N93W TO 14N91W TO 12N89W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 11.8N 95.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
11N93W TO 10N94W TO 11N96W TO 13N96W TO 13N93W TO 11N93W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 12.0N 99.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N96W TO 10N98W TO 10N101W TO 13N101W TO 
14N96W TO 11N96W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 12.9N 102.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 14.5N 106.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 16.0N 108.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
15N94W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N97W TO 16N96W TO
16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.WITHIN 28N117W TO 27N119W TO 27N122W TO 30N125W TO 30N116W TO
28N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N123W TO 26N128W TO 27N131W TO 
30N133W TO 30N121W TO 27N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1600 UTC SUN JUN 19...

.TROPICAL STORM BLAS...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
13N93W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 
98W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON THROUGH AXIS EXTENDS SW OF BLAS FROM 11N121W TO 
09N135W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N135W TO BEYOND 08N140W. OUTSIDE
OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH BLAS AND CELIA...SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 125W AND 131W 
AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 14N108W TO 11N113W TO 10N119W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.