000
FZPN03 KNHC 182217
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUN 18 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUN 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUN 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUN 20.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 18.4N 111.5W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN 18
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N111W TO 17N112W TO 18N112W TO 19N111W TO 
19N110W TO 18N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 12N108W TO 11N112W TO 17N120W TO 23N117W TO 
21N106W TO 12N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 18.8N 113.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N112W TO 17N114W TO 19N114W TO 
20N113W TO 19N112W TO 18N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N113W TO 17N118W TO 21N120W TO 
24N118W TO 22N112W TO 16N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 18.7N 
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SE AND NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N115W TO 18N116W
TO 19N116W TO 20N115W TO 19N114W TO 18N115W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N113W TO 17N114W TO 
17N119W TO 20N121W TO 22N114W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 18.9N 
117.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 13.0N 90.1W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUN 18 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 11N88W TO 11N90W TO 12N91W TO 14N90W TO
13N88W TO 11N88W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 12.5N 92.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 11N91W TO 
10N92W TO 11N94W TO 14N93W TO 14N91W TO 11N91W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 11.9N 96.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 10N94W TO 
10N97W TO 12N97W TO 14N97W TO 13N94W TO 10N94W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 12.0N 98.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 12.5N 100.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 13.7N 104.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 15.0N 107.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING
OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING
OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
15N95W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29.5N120.5W TO 29.5N121.5W TO 29N123.5W
TO 30N125W TO 30N120.5W TO 29.5N120.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC SAT JUN 18...

.TROPICAL STORM BLAS...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
90 NM SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
14N92W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N124W TO 09N131W. ITCZ EXTENDS 
FROM 09N131W TO 07N140W. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH 
BLAS AND CELIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W 
AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 
112W...WITHIN 30 NM S OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 134W AND 136W AND 
WITHIN 30 NM OF THE ITCZ W OF 139W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.