000
FZPN03 KNHC 161545
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUN 16 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 15.9N 104.8W 980 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN 16
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 110 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N103W TO 
12N104W TO 16N107W TO 18N105W TO 17N101W TO 13N103W SW WINDS 30 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N96W TO 
09N104W TO 11N106W TO 18N105W TO 16N98W TO 10N96W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 17.3N 108.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT... 
AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
WITHIN 17N104W TO 15N109W TO 16N111W TO 20N110W TO 20N107W TO 
17N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N101W TO 08N107W TO 
18N113W TO 21N107W TO 16N99W TO 09N101W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 18.4N 112.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N111W TO 17N112W TO 19N113W TO 20N112W TO 
19N111W TO 18N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 10N104W TO 13N114W TO 21N116W TO 24N114W TO 
21N106W TO 10N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.0N 114.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST- TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 18.7N 
116.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 18.5N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N90W 1006 MB. WITHIN 10N91W TO 09N92W TO 10N93W
TO 11N93W TO 11N91W TO 10N91W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
11N90W 1005 MB. WITHIN 10N92W TO 10N93W TO 11N93W TO 12N92W TO 
11N91W TO 10N92W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N91W 1004 MB. WITHIN 13N90W TO 12N90W TO 13N95W TO 15N96W TO
16N94W TO 13N90W...INCLUDING OFFSHORE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN  120 NM OF 
LOW. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.WITHIN 28N123W TO 27N124W TO 27N126W TO 30N128W TO 30N121W TO
28N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N120W TO 28N121W TO 29N123W TO
30N124W TO 30N119W TO 29N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
N SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC THU JUN 16...

.HURRICANE BLAS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 13N105W TO
13N109W AND WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N90W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 11N86W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11N90W AND TO 12N95W. IT RESUMES AT 13N110W TO 09N120W TO
08N126W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N126W TO 07N134W TO 07N140W. IN 
ADDITION TO CONVECTION DESCRIBED WITH BLAS AND THE LOW NEAR 
11N90W...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF 
THE ITCZ BETWEEN 126W AND 130W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 132W AND 139W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.