000
FZPN03 KNHC 152109
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUN 15 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 15.1N 103.1W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN 15
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 105 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N100W TO 10N102W TO 14N105W TO 17N104W
TO 17N102W TO 12N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 07N98W TO 09N106W TO 17N105W TO 17N101W
TO 12N95W TO 07N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 16.1N 105.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N102W TO 12N109W TO 
14N107W TO 19N106W TO 17N101W TO 11N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N99W TO 09N101W TO 11N111W
TO 20N106W TO 15N97W TO 10N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 17.4N 109.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...
180 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N109W TO 16N112W TO 20N111W TO 
21N108W TO 18N103W TO 15N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N100W TO 10N110W TO 17N114W TO 
22N111W TO 15N99W TO 11N100W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 18.3N 112.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 18.8N 114.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 18.5N 
116.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...ASHFALL ADVISORY...
.SANGAY VOLCANO AT POSITION 02.01S 78.3W IN ECUADOR IS CURRENTLY
IN A STATE OF UNREST AND PRODUCING A PLUME OF VOLCANIC ASH. 
VOLCANIC ASH MAY BE REACHING THE SURFACE OFFSHORE ECUADOR TO 
83W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL. MARINERS TRAVELING IN THE
VICINITY OF SANGAY ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION. IF MARINERS 
ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC DEBRIS...YOU ARE 
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER BY CALLING 305-229-4424.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N91.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 10N91W TO 10N94W
TO 12N94W TO 14N92W TO 12N90W TO 10N91W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
11N91.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN 09N90W TO 08N93W TO 11N94W TO 12N92W TO
11N90W TO 09N90W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N90.5W 1005 MB. WITHIN 11N89W TO 10N91W TO 12N91W TO 13N91W TO
13N89W TO 11N89W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.WITHIN 26N122W TO 24N125W TO 26N128W TO 30N128W TO 30N120W TO 
26N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL...
EXCEPT N TO NE SWELL W OF 123W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N121W TO 25N124W TO 26N128W TO 
30N126W TO 30N120W TO 27N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN NW TO N SWELL...EXCEPT N TO NE SWELL W OF 124W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 26N120W TO 26N124W TO 28N124W TO 
30N123W TO 30N118W TO 26N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN N SWELL.

.WITHIN 01S81W TO 01S83W TO 01N86W TO 03N85W TO 02N81W TO 01S81W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2040 UTC WED JUN 15...

.HURRICANE BLAS...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 09N 
TO 19N BETWEEN 96W AND 110W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN 87W 
AND 96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON THROUGH FROM 12N86.5W TO BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N91.5W 
TO 14N97W THEN RESUMES SW OF BLAS NEAR 13.5N107W TO 07N120W.
ITCZ FROM 07N120W TO 08N135W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W...FROM 
06N TO 08N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W...FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 129W 
AND 132W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.