000
FZPN03 KNHC 231617
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 23 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RICK NEAR 14.7N 101.5W 985 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 23
MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90
NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 09N100W TO 09N105W TO 12N102W TO 15N104W TO 
14N99W TO 09N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA...WITHIN 12N97W TO 08N103W TO 09N105W TO 17N103W TO 
15N98W TO 12N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 16.0N 102.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 13N101W TO 15N103W TO 17N103W TO 
17N101W TO 16N100W TO 13N101W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 10N99W TO 08N103W TO 17N109W TO 
19N106W TO 16N99W TO 10N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK ON THE COAST NEAR 18.0N 102.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER ALL 
QUADRANTS EXCEPT 0 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER OPEN WATERS...WITHIN 16N103W TO 17N104W TO 19N104W TO 
17N103W TO 17N101W TO 16N103W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 12N96W TO 07N110W TO 11N115W TO 
22N118W TO 16N99W TO 12N96W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RICK INLAND NEAR 19.6N 103.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK INLAND NEAR 20.5N
103.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03S113W TO 03.4S116W TO 02S117W TO 02S116W TO 02S115W TO
03S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.WITHIN 20N129W TO 13N119W TO 06N135W TO 30N140W TO 30N116W TO
20N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N121W TO 07N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N116W TO 23N113W TO 09N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N114W TO 06N137W TO 14N140W TO 
15N126W TO 22N120W TO 06N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN NW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 26N130W TO 25N140W TO 30N140W TO
30N123W TO 26N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT IN NW
SWELL. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 26N126W TO 22N135W TO 22N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N121W TO 26N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1600 UTC SAT OCT 23...

.HURRICANE RICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 12N95W AND FROM
12N110W TO 11N122W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N122W TO 07N140W.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W
AND 129W.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.