000
FZPN03 KNHC 222144
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 22 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 13.1N 101.0W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
22 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 97W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 14.6N 102.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 15.3N 102.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 16.1N 102.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
08N TO 18N BETWEEN 96W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK INLAND NEAR 18.3N 103.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL RICK NEAR 23.2N 103.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N128W TO 26N140W. NW OF A LINE FROM 30N126W 
TO 23N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL... 
EXCEPT 12 TO 15 FT NW OF A LINE FROM 30N130W TO 26N140W. FROM 
12N TO 18N W OF 125W...AND FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 30N119W TO 26N130W 
TO 26N140W. NW OF A LINE FROM 30N116W TO 26N115W TO 20N124W TO 
16N130W TO 10N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. NW OF A LINE FROM 30N125W TO 
26N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. 
..HIGHEST FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 132W. SE OF A LINE FROM 30N120W 
TO 21N140W TO ANOTHER LINE FROM 20N11W TO 08N120W TO 06N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST FROM 
08N TO 15N W OF 135W.

.06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 114W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 113W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC FRI OCT 22...

.TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 13.1N 101.0W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. BAND 
OF NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 
102W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 17N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 10N84W 
TO 15N96W, THEN CONTINUES W OF T.S. RICK FROM 14N106W TO 1010 MB 
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR 11N120W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 
11N120W TO BEYOND 06N140W. ASIDE FOR THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED 
WITH T.S. RICK...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS NOTED 
FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 82W AND 90W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 
88W AND 91W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 121W AND 124W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.