000
FZPN03 KNHC 121609
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAMELA NEAR 20.4N 108.9W 985 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 12
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
105 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N106W TO 17N110W TO
19N112W TO 22N111W TO 23N107W TO 19N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 14N105W TO 13N110W TO 18N113W TO 22N112W TO 23N107W 
TO 14N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAMELA INLAND NEAR 24.1N 106.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 210 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N106W TO 21N109W 
TO 24N110W TO 25N108W TO 23N106W TO 21N106W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N105W TO 15N109W TO 22N112W 
TO 26N109W TO 22N105W TO 18N105W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA 
AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED NW AND NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAMELA INLAND NEAR 27.1N 
103.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. CONDITIONS 
MERGED WITH AREA BELOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAMELA NEAR 30.7N 
99.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED INLAND.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 28N117W TO 26N121W TO 27N127W TO 30N130W TO 30N116W TO 
28N117W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
21N127W TO 14N129W TO 12N140W TO 30N140W TO 29N115W TO 21N127W NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N112W TO 16N130W TO 10N140W TO 
29N140W TO 30N116W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N120W TO 12N140W TO 26N140W TO 
30N118W TO 22N113W TO 10N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE OCT 12...

.HURRICANE PAMELA....NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM OF
CENTER S SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 07N94W TO 10N100W...AND RESUMES
FROM 15N115W TO 11N124W TO 10N138W. ITCZ FROM 10N138W TO 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 
90W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 116W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER HAGEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.