000
FZPN03 KNHC 111622
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 11 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAMELA NEAR 16.8N 108.1W 995 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
11 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N105W TO 15N106W TO 14N109W TO 17N110W TO 
20N106W TO 16N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAMELA NEAR 17.8N 108.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N107W TO 
15N109W TO 19N111W TO 20N108W TO 18N106W TO 15N107W...INCLUDING 
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N105W TO 12N107W TO 16N112W TO 20N110W
TO 20N106W TO 16N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAMELA NEAR 19.3N 109.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N107W 
TO 16N110W TO 20N113W TO 22N109W TO 19N106W TO 
17N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N105W TO 13N110W TO 
17N114W TO 20N114W TO 22N107W TO 14N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAMELA NEAR 23.3N 107.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND
270 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N105W 
TO 21N109W TO 23N110W TO 25N109W TO 23N106W TO 
21N105W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 18N105W TO 14N109W TO 13N115W TO 19N115W TO 26N109W 
TO 18N105W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N 
SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAMELA INLAND NEAR 25.7N 
104.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL PAMELA NEAR 29.1N 100.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED INLAND.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 29N121W TO 27N123W TO 27N125W TO 30N131W TO 30N121W TO
29N121W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N117W TO 26N121W TO 26N125W TO 
30N129W TO 30N116W TO 28N117W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 
FT IN S TO SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N126W TO 12N131W TO 
12N140W TO 30N140W TO 29N115W TO 21N126W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N117W TO 16N130W TO 10N140W TO 
29N140W TO 30N116W TO 18N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.WITHIN 14N125W TO 14N140W TO 28N140W TO 25N137W TO 19N124W TO 
14N125W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N113W TO 29N114W TO 30N115W TO
32N115W TO 31N113W TO 30N113W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1510 UTC MON OCT 11...

.TROPICAL STORM PAMELA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 210 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
12.5N TO 21N BETWEEN 104.5W AND 112W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 09N88W TO 11N98W...AND FROM 
14N112W TO 12N130W. ITCZ FROM 12N130W TO 12N135W...AND FROM 
11N137W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 
82W AND 98W AND FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 139W.

$$
.FORECASTER HAGEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.