000
FZPN03 KNHC 110330
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 11 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAMELA NEAR 15.9N 106.8W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
11 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 
NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 04N105W TO
09N111W TO 11N106W TO 18N104W TO 11N101W TO 04N105W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAMELA NEAR 17.6N 109.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N105W TO 
11N107W TO 16N113W TO 21N110W TO 20N106W TO 14N105W...INCLUDING 
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAMELA NEAR 20.7N 109.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N104W TO 11N114W TO 19N115W 
TO 24N112W TO 23N107W TO 15N104W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA 
AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAMELA INLAND NEAR 25.5N
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...ASHFALL ADVISORY...
.FUEGO VOLCANO AT 14.5N90.9W IS CURRENTLY IN A STATE OF UNREST 
WITH FREQUENT VOLCANIC EMISSIONS. VOLCANIC ASH MAY BE REACHING
THE SURFACE FROM 13N TO 14N...E OF 93W. MARINERS TRAVELING IN 
THE VICINITY OF FUEGO ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION. IF MARINERS 
ENCOUNTER VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC DEBRIS...YOU ARE 
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER BY CALLING 305-229-4424. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S107W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 01N128W TO 05N128W
TO 03.4S107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.WITHIN 18N132W TO 18N140W TO 21N140W TO 21N137W TO 23N136W TO
18N132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE... 
WITHIN 14N124W TO 14N140W TO 27N140W TO 22N130W TO 20N118W TO 
14N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY S 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N119W TO 27N124W TO 30N129W TO 
30N118W TO 28N119W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 22N129W TO 14N126W TO 12N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N117W TO 22N129W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 23N120W TO 24N127W TO 28N129W TO 
30N128W TO 30N117W TO 23N120W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 
FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 19N128W TO 11N134W TO 12N140W TO 30N140W 
TO 29N115W TO 19N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
PRIMARILY SW SWELL.

.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N113W TO 30N114W TO 30N115W TO 
31N114W TO 31N113W TO 30N113W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA... 
SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0000 UTC MON OCT 11...

.TROPICAL STORM PAMELA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER S SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 111W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 13N100W AND FROM 
14N109W TO 10N123W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N123W TO 13N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 11N E OF 95W AND FROM 09N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 126W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.