000
FZPN03 KNHC 101503
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 10 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 14.8N 104.7W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC OCT 10 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 13N100W TO 13N102W TO 14N104W TO
16N103W TO 15N100W TO 13N100W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 04N104W TO 06N107W TO 09N107W TO 12N100W TO
10N98W TO 04N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.4N 106.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.0N 108.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE...75 NM
SE...60 NM SW...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N106W TO 14N106W TO 14N108W TO 18N110W TO 
18N107W TO 16N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
AREA WITHIN 10N104W TO 10N110W TO 18N110W TO 19N108W TO 18N103W 
TO 10N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 17.1N 109.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 18.4N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 15N107W TO 14N110W TO 19N112W TO 21N108W TO 20N107W TO 
15N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
14N104W TO 12N109W TO 15N113W TO 19N114W TO 22N108W TO 14N104W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 21.8N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 26.3N 
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03S103W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 00N112W TO 02S104W TO
03S103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S102W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO
03S103W TO 03.4S102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 21N135W TO 20N137W TO 18N140W TO 25N140W TO 24N136W TO
21N135W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 19N123W TO 12N140W TO 27N140W TO 26N134W TO 19N123W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N131W TO 15N134W TO 16N140W TO 
22N140W TO 19N133W TO 17N131W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N123W TO 14N126W TO 12N140W TO 
29N140W TO 17N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N118W TO 26N121W TO 27N126W TO 
30N127W TO 30N118W TO 28N118W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 
FT. WITHIN 15N135W TO 14N140W TO 26N140W TO 23N134W TO 15N135W NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
20N127W TO 14N127W TO 11N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N115W TO 20N127W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N122W TO 29N124W TO 30N130W TO
30N120W TO 29N122W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN OCT 10...

.T.S. SIXTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 13N100W. IT RESUMES FROM 14N106W 
TO 10N126W. ITCZ FROM 10N126W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 05N TO 10N E OF 93W...FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND
100W...AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.