000
FZPN03 KNHC 080329
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED SEP 08 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.2N 107.4W 1007 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 08 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 17N105W TO 16N106W TO 16N109W TO
20N109W TO 20N106W TO 17N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.6N 107.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW AND 
0 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 30 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N106W TO 16N109W TO 18N110W TO 20N109W TO 20N106W TO 
18N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 19.4N 108.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N108W TO 20N109W TO 20N108W TO 19N108W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 21.7N 110.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N110W TO 21N111W TO 23N111W TO 23N110W
TO 22N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 19N108W TO 17N111W TO 19N115W TO 23N114W TO 23N109W 
TO 19N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 23.7N 113.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 24.5N 116.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 
24.0N 119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 11N135W TO 11N136W TO 13N138W TO 15N136W TO 14N135W TO
11N135W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0330 UTC WED SEP 08...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 SE QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 20N106W TO 19N107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 11N92W TO 12N101W. IT 
RESUMES AT 14N116W TO 12N125W TO 14N131W TO 14N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 84W AND
87W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 135W AND
137W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.