000
FZPN03 KNHC 072215
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE SEP 7 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.2N 107.9W 1007 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 16N106W TO 15N108W TO 17N112W TO 
21N110W TO 21N106W TO 16N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.4N 108.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N107W TO 17N108W TO 17N109W TO 19N110W TO 
19N108W TO 18N107W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 18N107W TO 16N108W TO 17N110W TO 19N110W TO 
19N107W TO 18N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 19.0N 108.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60
NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE AND SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N107W TO 18N109W TO 18N110W TO 20N110W TO 
20N108W TO 19N107W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 15N108W TO 17N112W TO 19N112W TO 21N110W TO 
19N107W TO 15N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 21.1N 110.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM NE QUADRANT 60 NM SE AND SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
WITHIN 20N110W TO 20N112W TO 22N112W TO 23N111W TO 21N109W TO 
20N110W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
19N108W TO 17N111W TO 19N114W TO 22N113W TO 23N109W TO 19N108W 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 23.4N 113.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 24.5N 116.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST- TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 
24.5N 118.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N133W TO 11N138W TO 15N137W TO 15N135W TO 14N132W TO
10N133W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2150 UTC TUE SEP 7...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG EXTEND ABOUT 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 12N95W...RESUMES WEST OF TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E NEAR 14N114W TO 14N118W TO 11N139W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 93W-97W.

$$
.FORECASTER TORRES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.