000
FZPN03 KNHC 281603
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NORA NEAR 18.4N 105.4W 981 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 28 
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...180
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 02N101W TO 01N111W TO 09N115W TO 21N110W TO 
16N97W TO 02N101W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORA NEAR 22.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM NE QUADRANT...AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 08N105W TO 06N116W TO 17N110W TO 22N111W TO 
16N99W TO 08N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORA NEAR 23.8N 108.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT...90 NM
NE QUADRANT...AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 20N106W TO 22N110W TO 25N110W TO 25N108W TO 
23N106W TO 20N106W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORA NEAR 25.2N 109.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORA NEAR 26.9N 110.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORA INLAND NEAR 29.3N 111.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S97W TO 03.4S120W TO 02N113W TO 01S110W TO 01N105W
TO 03.4S97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S105W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO
00N116W TO 02S111W TO 03.4S105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S116W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO 
03S119W TO 03S116W TO 03.4S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN SE SWELL.

.WITHIN 18N134W TO 19N136W TO 21N136W TO 21N134W TO 20N133W TO
18N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.WITHIN 06N134W TO 07N136W TO 08N135W TO 09N131W TO 08N129W TO
06N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28...

.HURRICANE NORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 NM OF
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N74W TO 13N96W AND FROM 
15N110W TO 12N128W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N128W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 80W AND 
FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
10N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.