000
FZPN03 KNHC 101616
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 13.4N 101.5W 1008 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 10 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N98W 
TO 10N99W TO 11N102W TO 16N102W TO 17N99W TO 13N98W S WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 14.0N 102.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 14.3N 104.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N102W TO 12N106W TO 13N107W TO 15N107W TO
16N103W TO 13N102W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N100W TO 10N103W TO 10N106W TO 16N108W
TO 18N105W TO 14N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 14.9N 107.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 12N105W TO 13N109W TO 15N109W TO 17N106W TO 15N104W TO 
12N105W SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 12N101W TO 11N108W TO 14N110W TO 18N109W TO 19N106W TO 
12N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 16.8N 110.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 18.4N 114.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 19.2N 118.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 19.1N 114.3W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
10 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND
45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N112W 
TO 16N115W TO 19N116W TO 20N115W TO 20N113W TO 18N112W SW WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N108W 
TO 10N118W TO 21N117W TO 23N107W TO 17N105W TO 10N108W...INCLUDING
GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.0N 116.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N111W TO 18N118W TO 20N120W TO 24N115W TO 23N112W TO 18N111W S 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
17N107W TO 11N114W TO 20N120W TO 25N115W TO 22N107W TO 
17N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW TO W SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN NEAR 22.1N 118.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN NEAR 23.1N 120.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N115W TO 23N117W TO 23N121W TO 27N120W TO 
26N116W TO 25N115W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 25.2N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 27.2N 
128.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 28.7N 
131.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1550 UTC TUE AUG 10...

TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N TO
19N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO 25N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 123W.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 08N TO 16N
BETWEEN 99W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 17N BETWEEN
92W AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N83W TO 13N98W. IT RESUMES AT 13N119W
TO 08N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG N OF 02N AND E
OF 82W.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.