000
FZPN03 KNHC 092224 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 09 2021

CORRECTED 48 HOUR FORECAST UNDER GALE WARNING

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 11.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 17.0N 112.2W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
09 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE...
70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N108W TO 11N114W 
TO 18N115W TO 20N111W TO 20N108W TO 15N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 2N103W TO 10N111W TO
15N115W TO 21N113W TO 22N107W TO 12N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...12N103W TO 10N111W TO 15N115W TO 21N113W TO 22N107W
TO 12N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 17N TO 21N
BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 18.5N 114.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN WITHIN 
14N110W TO 12N116W TO 21N118W TO 22N113W TO 17N109W TO 14N110W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
13N106W TO 11N119W TO 19N119W TO 23N114W TO 22N107W TO 
13N106W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS 20 TO
25 KT FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 20.4N 117.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N114W TO 17N119W TO 21N121W TO 
23N115W TO 21N113W TO 17N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N107W TO 11N111W TO 12N118W TO 
22N121W TO 23N109W TO 18N107W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND 
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN NEAR 22.0N 121.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 23.6N 
126.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 25.5N 
131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N100W 1008 MB. WITHIN 09N97W TO 07N100W TO 08N103W TO 16N99W TO
15N96W TO 09N97W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N102W 1006 MB. WITHIN 11N98W TO 10N103W TO 16N104W TO 17N101W
TO 16N98W TO 11N98W S WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N105W 1004 MB. WITHIN 11N99W TO 10N105W TO 14N108W TO 19N105W 
TO 17N99W TO 11N99W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2215 UTC MON AUG 09...

.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 270 NM SW QUADRANT
AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
14N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 10N92W TO LOW PRES 
NEAR 12N98W AND TO 14N106W. IT RESUMES AT 14N117W TO 10N131W. 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N131W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 129W AND
131W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.