000 FZPN03 KNHC 091615 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON AUG 09 2021 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 09. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 10. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 11. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 16.6N 111.5W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 09 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N107W TO 11N112W TO 11N115W TO 18N113W TO 20N107W TO 14N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N104W TO 12N115W TO 19N113W TO 21N107W TO 19N105W TO 11N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 18N TO 21 BETWEEN 105W AND 112W. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 18.1N 114.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N113W TO 16N114W TO 18N115W TO 19N115W TO 19N113W TO 17N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N106W TO 11N119W TO 19N119W TO 23N113W TO 22N107W TO 13N106W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 19.7N 117.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM E QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N113W TO 18N118W TO 19N118W TO 21N118W TO 21N116W TO 19N115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N107W TO 11N111W TO 12N118W TO 22N121W TO 23N109W TO 18N107W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.4N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 23.0N 125.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KEVIN NEAR 24.5N 130.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N99W 1009 MB. WITHIN 11N99W TO 11N102W TO 15N100W TO 16N98W TO 16N97W TO 11N99W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 13N101W 1008 MB. WITHIN 11N98W TO 09N102W TO 12N102W TO 17N102W TO 16N98W TO 11N98W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N104W 1005 MB. WITHIN 13N103W TO 14N106W TO 16N106W TO 18N103W TO 16N102W TO 13N103W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N100W TO 13N103W TO 12N106W TO 16N107W TO 18N102W TO 13N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1545 UTC MON AUG 09... .TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 270 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W. .SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 10N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N98W AND TO 14N106W. IT RESUMES AT 14N117W TO 10N131W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N131W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 101W AND 104W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 82W AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 121W AND 131W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 131W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.