000 FZPN03 KNHC 081544 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SUN AUG 08 2021 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 08. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 09. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 10. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 15.8N 109.0W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 08 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N107W TO 14N110W TO 16N111W TO 17N108W TO 17N107W TO 15N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 16.2N 111.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N109W TO 15N111W TO 16N113W TO 17N113W TO 18N110W TO 16N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N105W TO 15N114W TO 16N113W TO 17N113W TO 18N114W TO 17N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 16.9N 112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N110W TO 16N113W TO 16N114W TO 19N115W TO 20N113W TO 18N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N106W TO 10N120W TO 20N117W TO 22N113W TO 20N106W TO 09N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 17.7N 114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N111W TO 16N113W TO 16N115W TO 19N116W TO 21N113W TO 18N111W E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. LITTLE CHANGE REMAINDER OF AREA. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 19.4N 117.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.2N 120.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 22.7N 125.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N98W 1009 MB. WITHIN 11N93W TO 11N96W TO 12N97W TO 15N95W TO 14N93W TO 11N93W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N103W 1004 MB. WITHIN 11N98W TO 11N100W TO 14N99W TO 14N98W TO 13N97W TO 11N98W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC SUN AUG 08... .TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 300 NM SW AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 14N99W TO 17N104W TO 19N109W. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W FROM 03N TO 17N...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE FROM 10N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM E OF WAVE FROM 07N TO 10N. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 12N99W...THEN RESUMES W OF TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 14N117W TO 08N128W AND TO BEYOND THE AREA AT 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 135W AND 137W... BETWEEN 137W AND 140W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 118W AND 121W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.