000
FZPN03 KNHC 072221
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT AUG 7 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 15.8N 106.8W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
07 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 16N105W TO 15N107W TO 16N107W TO 17N106W TO 17N105W TO 
16N105W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 15.7N 109.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N109W TO 15N110W TO 16N110W TO
17N110W TO 17N108W TO 15N109W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N106W TO 11N108W TO 12N108W TO 
12N107W TO 12N106W TO 11N106W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 15.7N 110.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 16.2N 111.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 
22 FT. WITHIN 15N111W TO 15N112W TO 17N113W TO 19N112W TO 
18N109W TO 15N111W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N105W TO 15N107W TO 15N109W TO 20N108W TO 
19N106W TO 17N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...SE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N107W 
TO 10N112W TO 13N112W TO 14N108W TO 15N105W TO 09N107W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 18.2N 114.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KEVIN NEAR 19.9N 117.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KEVIN NEAR 21.9N 122.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2150 UTC SAT AUG 7...

.TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
09N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 114W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W...SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 02N E OF 84W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 86W AND 95W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 14N101W THEN RESUMES W OF T.S. 
KEVIN NEAR 14N115W TO 10N124W. ITCZ FROM 10N124W TO 07N132W TO 
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 06N BETWEEN 94W 
AND 101W. 

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.