000
FZPN03 KNHC 071610
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT AUG 7 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E NEAR 15.9N 105.5W 1007 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 07 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
16N104W TO 16N106W TO 17N105W TO 17N104W TO 16N104W E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELEVEN-E NEAR 15.9N 106.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELEVEN-E NEAR 15.9N 108.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N108W TO
15N109W TO 16N109W TO 17N109W TO 17N108W TO 16N108W E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELEVEN-E NEAR 16.2N 111.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N105W TO 10N112W TO 12N114W TO 16N113W TO 
17N104W TO 11N105W SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N104W TO 16N106W TO 18N110W TO 
19N110W TO 20N106W TO 18N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...
E TO SE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELEVEN-E NEAR 18.0N 113.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELEVEN-E NEAR 19.9N 117.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELEVEN-E NEAR 21.7N 121.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1550 UTC SAT AUG 7...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 104W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 08N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 111W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 85W AND 93W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 14N100W THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N111W 
TO 10N124W. ITCZ FROM 10N124W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE N 
OF 10N BETWEEN 91W AND 100W...N OF 03N E OF 81W AND FROM 05N TO 
08N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.