402 
FZPN03 KNHC 192132
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON JUL 19 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 16.1N 133.4W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC 
JUL 19 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 
KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 15.5N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 20N 
W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA NEAR 15.0N 141.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FELICIA W OF 
FORECAST AREA NEAR 14.4N 143.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT 
GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 15N W OF 138W 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FELICIA NEAR 13.1N 
148.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 19.3N 119.8W 1007 MB AT 2100 
UTC JUL 19 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 18.8N 
125.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GUILLERMO NEAR 18.4N 
128.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GUILLERMO NEAR 18.1N 
131.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 128W AND 134W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GUILLERMO NEAR 17.6N 
136.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N86W TO 09.5N91W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W...FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 
125W AND 128W...AND FROM 02N TO 09N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 127W AND 129W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON JUL 19...

.TROPICAL STORM FELICIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE.  

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 
NM SE SEMICIRCLE. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS PANAMA TO 08N93W TO 08N106W TO 
12N115W...THEN CONTINUES SW OF GUILLERMO FROM 13N120W TO 
11N130W. THE ITCZ BEGINS AT 11N135W AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 07N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 100W...FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 
112W...AND FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.