000 FZPN03 KNHC 190241 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC MON JUL 19 2021 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 21. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 16.3N 130.1W 971 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 19 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N128W TO 15N130W TO 15N131W TO 18N131W TO 19N129W TO 17N128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N129W TO 14N132W TO 18N132W TO 19N129W TO 17N127W TO 13N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 16.5N 133.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N133W TO 16N136W TO 18N136W TO 19N133W TO 19N132W TO 16N133W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER WITHIN 15N132W TO 14N135W TO 19N137W TO 20N133W TO 19N132W TO 15N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 16.3N 136.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N135W TO 16N138W TO 19N138W TO 20N136W TO 18N135W TO 15N135W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N134W TO 14N136W TO 16N139W TO 20N139W TO 20N134W TO 15N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 15.8N 138.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N138W TO 16N140W TO 18N140W TO 18N139W TO 17N138W TO 15N138W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N137W TO 14N140W TO 15N140W TO 20N140W TO 19N135W TO 15N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 144.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FELICIA NEAR 14.1N 149.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FELICIA NEAR 13.3N 155.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 18.9N 115.6W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N111W TO 17N112W TO 18N116W TO 20N115W TO 21N112W TO 18N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 19.2N 120.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N117W TO 18N121W TO 21N121W TO 22N120W TO 21N117W TO 18N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N120W TO 19N122W TO 22N121W TO 24N118W TO 22N115W TO 17N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 19.1N 126.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N124W TO 18N125W TO 18N126W TO 20N127W TO 21N125W TO 19N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N125W TO 20N129W TO 23N128W TO 24N124W TO 22N121W TO 16N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 18.9N 128.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 18.6N 131.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 18.3N 136.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GUILLERMO NEAR 18.3N 141.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 24N137W TO 23N140W TO 27N140W TO 26N138W TO 25N137W TO 24N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 01S113W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N140W TO 12N140W TO 08N120W TO 01S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N125W TO 00N132W TO 04N135W TO 00N140W TO 11N140W TO 04N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N135W TO 00N135W TO 00N140W TO 02N140W TO 02N139W TO 00N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. .WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N89W TO 12N88W TO 13N88W TO 11N86W TO 10N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC MON JUL 19... .HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. .TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 480 NM SE QUADRANT. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 88W N OF 02N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 97W N OF 03N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W...AND FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N74W TO 10N87W. ITCZ FROM 07N89W TO 06N96W THEN FROM 06N98W TO 07N108W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N114W TO 14N126W. ITCZ FROM 11N131W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W AND 87W...FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W...FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 114W AND 122W...FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 132W AND 135W...AND FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.