000
FZPN03 KNHC 172220
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 125.3W 947 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 17 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N124W TO 
14N126W TO 15N127W TO 16N126W TO 16N124W TO 14N124W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N122W TO 
12N125W TO 13N129W TO 18N128W TO 18N124W TO 14N122W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.8N 128.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N127W TO 15N128W TO 15N130W TO 18N129W TO 
18N127W TO 16N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA...WITHIN 14N126W TO 13N128W TO 16N133W TO 20N130W TO 
18N125W TO 14N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 16.1N 132.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N130W TO 15N133W TO 17N134W TO
19N133W TO 19N130W TO 17N130W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N131W TO 14N133W TO 16N137W TO 
20N136W TO 19N129W TO 14N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 15.6N 137.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 14.7N 142.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA NEAR 14.0N
148.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 17.1N 110.1W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC 
JUL 17 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 18N104W TO 16N110W 
TO 19N111W TO 20N108W TO 20N106W TO 18N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 18.0N 113.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N110W TO 17N115W TO 20N116W TO
21N113W TO 19N110W TO 17N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 18.4N 118.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N114W TO 16N121W TO 21N121W TO 22N117W TO 
20N113W TO 15N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 18.4N 123.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 18.1N 128.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 17.8N
134.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S112W TO 03.4S118W TO 03S118W TO 02S117W TO
02S115W TO 03.4S112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S117W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO
02S119W TO 03S119W TO 03.4S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W TO
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR LITTLE CHANGE.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N89W TO 12N88W TO
11N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 25N138W TO 23N139W TO 24N140W TO
25N140W TO 26N140W TO 25N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.33 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N128W TO 05N128W TO 06N127W TO
06N126W TO 05N126W TO 04N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N127W TO 05N131W TO 07N131W TO 
08N129W TO 07N126W TO 05N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N140W TO 06N140W TO 09N133W TO 
09N131W TO 08N131W TO 05N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN NE TO E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1800 UTC SAT JUL 17...

.HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...AND FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND
110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N79W TO 13N95W TO 
16N105W...FROM 13N111W TO 12N118W...AND FROM 11N127W TO 09N134W. 
ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N134W TO 09N140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.