000
FZPN03 KNHC 171621
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.6N 124.6W 947 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 17 
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS
150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N124W TO 
14N125W TO 16N126W TO 16N124W TO 15N123W TO 14N124W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 15N122W TO 
12N127W TO 14N129W TO 17N128W TO 18N124W TO 15N122W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.2N 127.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N126W TO 14N128W TO 16N130W 
TO 18N128W TO 16N126W TO 15N126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 13N126W TO 12N128W TO 16N132W TO 
18N127W TO 17N125W TO 13N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 16.0N 131.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N130W TO 13N133W TO 16N136W 
TO 20N135W TO 19N129W TO 14N130W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 15.7N 136.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 15.0N 141.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA NEAR 14.0N
147.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E NEAR 16.8N 109.2W 1007 MB AT 1500 
UTC JUL 17 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 17N104W TO 15N109W TO 17N110W TO 
20N108W TO 20N106W TO 17N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 17.3N 110.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM 
SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N107W TO 16N109W TO 17N114W TO 20N109W TO 
20N107W TO 17N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 17.9N 112.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM 
SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N109W TO 17N115W TO 19N115W TO 20N113W TO 
20N110W TO 17N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 18.3N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N114W TO 17N120W TO 20N121W TO 21N119W TO 
20N114W TO 16N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 18.5N 122.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 18.2N 127.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 17.9N 132.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 12N88W TO 11N87W TO 11N86W TO
11N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 11N89W TO 12N88W TO
11N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 12N88W TO 11N87W TO
11N86W TO 11N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S109W TO 03.4S120W TO 02.5S120W TO 02.5S115.5W TO
03S114W TO 03.4S109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N125W TO 04N127W TO 05N128W TO
07N128W TO 07N126W TO 06N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S109W TO 03S119W TO 03S117W TO
02S117W TO 03S115W TO 03.4S109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. WITHIN 06N125W TO 04N127W TO 05N128W TO
07N128W TO 07N126W TO 06N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 25N138W TO 24N140W TO 26N140W TO
27N139W TO 26N137W TO 25N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 25N138W TO 23N140W TO 26N140W TO
27N138W TO 26N137W TO 25N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.

.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94.5W TO 14.5N95W TO 14.5N95.5W TO
15.5N95.5W TO 16N94.5W TO 15N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14.5N95W TO 14.5N95.5W TO 16N95W TO
16N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W TO 14.5N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC SAT JUL 17...

.HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 135 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 
108W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 76W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 00N TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 89W N OF 04N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 84W AND 90W...FROM 04N TO 06N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 95W...AND FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 112W N OF 08N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 13N95W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15.5N108W 
TO 10N116W THEN RESUMES FROM 11N126W TO 12N136W TO 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03.4S TO 01N BETWEEN 82W 
AND 86W.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.