000
FZPN03 KNHC 170331
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.8N 123.2W 954 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 17
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N121W TO 13N122W TO 14N124W TO 17N125W TO  
17N122W TO 15N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 11N121W TO 12N127W TO 16N129W TO 18N123W TO 
17N120W TO 11N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.7N 126.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N124W TO 13N127W TO 14N128W TO 16N128W TO 
17N125W TO 14N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 10N125W TO 10N128W TO 16N133W TO 19N128W TO 16N122W
TO 10N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.4N 129.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N128W TO 14N130W TO 16N132W TO 18N129W TO 
17N128W TO 14N128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 13N129W TO 13N132W TO 17N135W TO 19N132W TO  
17N127W TO 13N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.5N 134.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 14.7N 138.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 13.9N 143.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 15.5N105.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 11N102W TO 11N105W 
TO 14N107W TO 18N105W TO 16N101W TO 11N102W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
17.5N111W 1006 MB. WITHIN 17N109W TO 15N111W TO 16N112W TO 
19N112W TO 19N110W TO 17N109W WINDS 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 06N113W TO 12N112W TO 18N114W TO 21N108W TO
14N106W TO 06N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
18.5N116W 1004 MB. WITHIN 17N115W TO 17N117W TO 19N117W TO 
20N115W TO 20N114W TO 17N115W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N112W TO 16N117W TO 20N118W TO 21N114W TO
18N111W TO 16N112W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 20N140W TO 26N140W TO 30N133W TO 28N129W TO 26N134W TO
20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 26N133W TO 20N140W TO 26N140W TO 
29N137W TO 30N133W TO 26N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 23N138W TO 21N140W TO 26N140W TO 
25N137W TO 23N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N87W TO 11N86W TO
10N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.WITHIN 02N132W TO 00N131W TO 00N140W TO 08N140W TO 03N136W TO
02N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SOUTHERLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S83W TO 03S86W TO 02N86W TO 04N85W TO 02N83W TO
03.4S83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. WITHIN
03.4S97.5W TO 03.4S120W TO 02.5S120W TO 02.5S109.5W TO 03S98W TO
03.4S97.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S106W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N120W TO 
02S110W TO 03.4S106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0220 UTC SAT JUL 17...

.HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER 
...EXCEPT WITHIN 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N105W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 109W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 74W/75W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 01N TO 07N E OF 80W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 88W N OF 02N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 00N TO 09N BETWEEN 82W AND 89W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 111W FROM 01N TO 21N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 18N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 10N86W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N105W TO
14N118W THEN FROM 12N127W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.