588 
FZPN03 KNHC 160847
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 16 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.1N 121.0W 968 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 16
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N120W TO 14N121W TO 15N123W TO 17N122W TO 
16N119W TO 14N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 15N118W TO 13N122W TO 16N124W TO 18N121W TO 
18N119W TO 15N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.6N 123.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS
...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N122W TO 13N124W TO 15N125W TO 17N125W TO 
17N122W TO 14N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 12N123W TO 12N128W TO 14N128W TO 18N124W TO 
17N121W TO 12N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.6N 126.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR  
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N125W TO 13N127W TO 14N129W TO 
17N127W TO 17N125W TO 14N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N125W TO 11N128W TO 16N132W TO 
18N127W TO 17N125W TO 14N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.8N 130.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.6N 134.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 13.8N 137.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 25N136W TO 24N140W TO 26N140W TO 30N133W TO 30N131W TO
25N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 107W. WITHIN 13N96W TO 12N98W TO 12N100W TO
15N101W TO 15N97W TO 13N96W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT. WITHIN 07N99W TO 07N100W TO 09N101W TO 10N99W TO 09N98W TO
07N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N107W 1006 MB. WITHIN 16N103W TO 15N106W TO 17N106W TO 
19N106W TO 18N103W TO 16N103W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
16N112.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 14N111W TO 14N112W TO 18N113W TO 
20N111W TO 18N108W TO 14N111W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N87W TO 11N86W TO
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03S88W TO 03.4S100W TO 02S87W TO 01S84W TO
03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S109W TO 03.4S120W TO 02.5S120W TO 
02.5S111.5W TO 03S109W TO 03.4S109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.WITHIN 00N132W TO 00N140W TO 01N140W TO 01N137W TO 01N133W TO
00N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N137W TO 00N137W TO 00N140W TO 
06N140W TO 03N138W TO 01N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0700 UTC FRI JUL 16...

.HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 122W AND 125W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 82W N OF 02N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01N 
TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 09N82W TO 12N95W TO 11N105W TO 
13N114W THEN RESUMES FROM 14N125W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 
85W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W...FROM 07N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 118W...AND FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 136W AND 
138W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.