000 FZPN03 KNHC 160307 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC FRI JUL 16 2021 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.2N 120.2W 971 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N118W TO 14N119W TO 14N121W TO 17N121W TO 17N119W TO 15N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N119W TO 14N121W TO 16N122W TO 19N120W TO 18N118W TO 13N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 122.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N122W TO 13N123W TO 14N124W TO 16N125W TO 17N121W TO 14N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N120W TO 12N124W TO 13N126W TO 16N128W TO 18N121W TO 15N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.7N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N125W TO 13N127W TO 14N128W TO 16N127W TO 15N125W TO 14N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N124W TO 11N128W TO 13N130W TO 18N128W TO 17N124W TO 13N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.0N 129.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 133.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 29N130W TO 27N140W TO 29N139W TO 30N133W TO 30N126W TO 29N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND S TO SW SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 106W N OF 01N. WITHIN 12N97W TO 11N100W TO 12N101W TO 14N100W TO 14N97W TO 12N97W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. WITHIN 08N99W TO 07N99W TO 08N100W TO 09N100W TO 09N99W TO 08N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N107W 1007 MB. WITHIN 15N103W TO 14N104W TO 16N105W TO 17N105W TO 16N103W TO 15N103W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 16N112W 1006 MB. WITHIN 15N108W TO 13N109W TO 14N111W TO 19N111W TO 19N108W TO 15N108W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03.4S87W TO 01S86W TO 01S84W TO 02S83W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N133W TO 00N136.5W TO 01N135W TO 01N134W TO 00.5N133W TO 00N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N136W TO 00N139W TO 02N137W TO 02N137W TO 01N136W TO 00N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0100 UTC FRI JUL 16... .HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 TO 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 90W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 106W N OF 01N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 108W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N73W TO 06N80W TO 10N100W TO 13N114W THEN RESUMES FROM 14N125W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 16N100W TO 14N94W TO 07N90W TO 04N90W TO 08N100W TO 16N100W...FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W... FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W...WITH CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 139W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.