000
FZPN03 KNHC 152222
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU JUL 15 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.2N 119.4W 979 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 15 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 
50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N118W TO 
15N120W TO 17N119W TO 16N119W TO 16N117W TO 15N118W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 15N117W TO 
13N120W TO 16N122W TO 18N120W TO 18N117W TO 15N117W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE... WITHIN 14N121W TO 14N123W TO 
15N124W TO 16N123W TO 16N121W TO 14N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 15N120W TO 12N122W TO 
15N128W TO 19N122W TO 18N120W TO 15N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 125.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N123W TO 
14N124W TO 14N126W TO 15N127W TO 16N123W TO 15N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 13N124W TO 
11N128W TO 15N131W TO 18N128W TO 17N122W TO 13N124W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 128.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 132.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 136.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 07N95W TO 04N97W TO 10N97W TO 13N100W TO 16N95W TO
07N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...NEAR 14N105W 1008 MB. WITHIN 15N102W TO 14N102W TO 
16N106W TO 17N105W TO 17N103W TO 15N102W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N110W 1007 MB. WITHIN 16N105W TO 15N106W TO 14N108W TO 19N110W
TO 19N108W TO 16N105W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S83W TO 03.4S86W TO 01S84W TO 02N84W TO 02N83W TO
03.4S83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.WITHIN 30N126W TO 29N130W TO 30N133W TO 30N126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N133W TO 00N136W TO 01N136W TO 
01N135W TO 01N134W TO 00N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.33 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU JUL 15...

.HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ALL QUADRANTS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N95W TO 13N113W...THEN
FROM 14N122W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 115W AND FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 127W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.