000 FZPN03 KNHC 151620 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC THU JUL 15 2021 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.2N 118.6W 984 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 15 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE....WITHIN 15N117W TO 15N119W TO 15N120W TO 17N119W TO 16N116W TO 15N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA... WITHIN 15N116W TO 14N120W TO 16N120W TO 18N119W TO 18N117W TO 15N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.1N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N119W TO 12N122W TO 16N125W TO 19N123W TO 18N119W TO 14N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.6N 124.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N124W TO 14N125W TO 15N126W TO 16N126W TO 16N123W TO 14N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 12N123W TO 12N127W TO 15N129W TO 18N128W TO 17N122W TO 12N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.4N 128.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 132.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.5N 136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 12N95W TO 13N97W TO 14N98W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W TO 12N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRESSURE NEAR 12N103W 1010 MB. WITHIN 09N99W TO 09N100W TO 11N100W TO 12N100W TO 12N99W TO 09N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N110W 1008 MB. WITHIN 15N107W TO 16N107W TO 17N110W TO 18N109W TO 17N106W TO 15N107W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N103W TO 13N104W TO 15N108W TO 18N111W TO 18N106W TO 14N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. .WITHIN 03.4S83W TO 03.4S86W TO 01S84W TO 02N84W TO 02N83W TO 03.4S83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S82.5W TO 03.4S83W TO 03.4S84W TO 03S84W TO 02.5S83W TO 03S82.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .33 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. .WITHIN 07N93W TO 03N95W TO 09N94W TO 11N88W TO 09N89W TO 07N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. .WITHIN 29.5N126W TO 29N127W TO 29.5N127.5W TO 30N127.5W TO 30N126W TO 29.5N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. .15 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00.5N135W TO 00N136W TO 01N136W TO 01N135.5W TO 01N135W TO 00.5N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. .39 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU JUL 15... .HURRICANE FELICIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ALL QUADRANTS. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N78W TO 09N90W TO 13N111W, AND FROM 13N121W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W...FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 115W...AND FROM FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.