000
FZPN03 KNHC 150347
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 15 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 15.1N 116.7W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
15 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50
NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N113W TO 14N118W TO 15N118W TO 17N117W TO 
17N114W TO 14N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.4N 118.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.5N 120.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 75 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N118W TO 
13N120W TO 14N123W TO 20N122W TO 19N118W TO 14N118W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.0N 123.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N122W TO 
14N124W TO 15N125W TO 17N125W TO 17N121W TO 14N122W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N120W TO 
11N124W TO 16N129W TO 20N125W TO 19N120W TO 14N120W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.7N 126.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.8N 130.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.0N 134.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 11N95W TO 11N97W TO 12N99W TO 14N100W TO 16N94W TO
11N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE NEAR 11N102W 1009 MB. WITHIN 
11N96W TO 11N100W TO 12N102W TO 14N100W TO 14N96W TO 11N96W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE NEAR 12N108W 1008 MB. WITHIN 
13N101W TO 12N103W TO 15N106W TO 16N105W TO 15N101W TO 13N101W SE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N89W TO 11N89W TO 12N88W TO 11N86W TO
10N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 01S89W TO 01S98W TO 06N95W TO 04N81W TO
03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03.4S98W TO 02S90W TO
00N87W TO 02N84W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N83W TO 00N84W TO 00N86W TO 03N85W TO
03N83W TO 01N83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.

.WITHIN 29N126W TO 29N133W TO 29N135W TO 30N137W TO 30N126W TO
29N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 25N136W TO 25N140W TO 29N140W TO
30N132W TO 25N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N135W TO 00N140W TO 06N140W TO
03N137W TO 00N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0330 UTC THU JUL 15...

.TROPICAL STORM FELICIA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SEGMENTS OF MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 08N80W TO 12N110W... 
AND FROM 14N120W TO 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 13N126W TO 
10N138W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W AND 
90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 93W AND 97W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 
126W AND 130W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.