000
FZPN03 KNHC 141611
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 14 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 14.3N 114.1W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC 
JUL 14 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N112W TO 14N113W TO 14N115W 
TO 16N114W TO 15N112W TO 14N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.4N 117.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM ALL QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N117W TO 14N118W TO 16N120W 
TO 18N119W TO 17N116W TO 14N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 15.3N 120.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM ALL QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N120W TO 14N122W TO 15N123W 
TO 17N122W TO 17N120W TO 15N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 13N121W TO 14N123W TO 17N124W TO 
18N121W TO 16N119W TO 13N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 124.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FELICIA NEAR 14.9N 127.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA NEAR 14.8N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 14N95W TO 13N97W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W 
TO 13N98W TO 15N96W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 
14N97W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED. 
.33 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.WITHIN 03.4S81W TO 01S90W TO 09N84W TO 07N79W TO
03.4S81W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S82W TO 03S94W TO 01S86W TO 00N87W 
TO 03N83W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S 
TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S83W TO 03.4S83W TO 03.4S84W TO 
03S84W TO 02S83W TO 03S83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
S TO SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 04N92W TO 07N98W TO 08N95W TO 12N101W TO 12N91W TO
04N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N95W TO 11N96W TO 11N97W TO 12N97W TO
13N96W TO 11N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N97W TO 12N99W TO 13N100W TO 13N98W 
TO 12N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 05N116W TO 04N117W TO 05N118W TO 06N117W TO 06N116W TO
05N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N128W TO 29N135W TO 29N138W TO
30N138W TO 30N127W TO 30N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N127W TO 29N133W TO 28N138W TO 
30N138W TO 30N126W TO 29N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.39 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N87W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N87W TO
11N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED JUL 14...

.TROPICAL STORM FELICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN
112W AND 117W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N92W TO
13N110W...AND FROM 13N119W TO 11N136W. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 129W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.