000
FZPN03 KNHC 141546
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUN 14 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.3N 128.6W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN
14 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM NE QUADRANT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N127W TO 10N128W TO 11N129W TO 12N128W TO 12N126W 
TO 10N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 F. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
10N126W TO 10N129W TO 12N129W TO 13N128W TO 11N126W TO 10N126W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.9N 129.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.6N 130.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 10N128W TO 
10N130W TO 11N129W TO 11N131W TO 11N129W TO 10N128W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N129W TO 10N131W TO 
10N133W TO 12N133W TO 13N131W TO 11N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 10.2N 
133.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 
10.5N132W TO 10.5N133W TO 11N133.5W TO 11.5N133W TO 11N132W TO 
10.5N132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 10.3N 
135.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 10.7N 
137.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 11.1N 
139.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N102W TO 08N108W TO 11N110W TO 12N106W TO 11N102W TO 
10N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N120W TO 30N120.5W TO
30N121W TO 30N118.5W TO 30N119W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N120W TO 28N122W TO 28N125W TO 
30N127W TO 30N119W TO 29N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN NW TO N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1520 UTC MON JUN 14...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 
NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO 09N84W TO 14N97W 
TO 13N124W. ITCZ BEGINS SW OF CARLOS NEAR 09N131W TO BEYOND 
08N140W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 16N BETWEEN 78W AND 98W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM OF THE 
MEXICAN COAST FROM 97W TO 112W...FROM 09N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 102W 
AND 117W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 132W AND 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.