000
FZPN03 KNHC 141011
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUN 14 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.4N 127.8W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN
14 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM NE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N127W TO 11N127.5W
TO 12N127.5W TO 12N127W TO 11N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N126W TO 10N127W TO 11N129W TO
13N128W TO 12N126W TO 10N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 11.2N 128.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 10N126W TO 
09N129W TO 12N130W TO 13N128W TO 11N126W TO 10N126W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.8N 129.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 10N129W TO 
10N130W TO 11N130W TO 12N129W TO 11N128W TO 10N129W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 10.2N 
132.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 10N132W
TO 10N133W TO 11N133W TO 12N133W TO 12N132W TO 10N132W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 10.5N 
134.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 11.0N 
136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 11.5N 
137.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 09N102W TO 08N111W TO 10N112W TO 13N107W TO 11N102W TO
09N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N104W TO 10N103W TO 09N107W TO
09N111W TO 10N108W TO 11N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1000 UTC MON JUN 14...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 30 NM SW QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 20N106W TO 22N107W
AND FROM 23N TO 25N BETWEEN 108W AND 114W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 14N93W TO 14N103W 
TO 14N112W TO 13N124W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N131W TO BEYOND 
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 03N TO 
11N BETWEEN 85W AND 92W...AND ALSO FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 
92W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE TROUGH 
BETWEEN 114W AND 117W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.