000
FZPN03 KNHC 132152
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUN 13 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUN 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUN 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUN 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.7N 126.6W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN
13 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT WITHIN AREA OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N124W TO 10N126W 
TO 12N127W TO 13N126W TO 12N124W TO 11N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N123W TO 10N125W TO 
13N125W TO 13N127W TO 14N125W TO 11N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.0N 128.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N127W TO 
10N129W TO 12N130W TO 12N129W TO 12N127W TO 10N127W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N125W TO 
09N126W TO 09N128W TO 10N127W TO 12N126W TO 10N125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 130.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS 
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N129W TO 10N130W TO 10N131W TO 11N130W TO 
11N129W TO 10N129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 10N126W TO 09N129W TO 11N130W TO 13N128W TO 
12N126W TO 10N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.3N 130.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.3N 131.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.7N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 11.4N 132.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N102W TO 09N109W TO 11N112W TO 12N110W TO 11N102W TO
10N102W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N102W TO 09N108W TO 11N108W TO
11N103W TO 11N101W TO 10N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN JUN 13...

.T.S. CARLOS NEAR 11.8N 126.0W 1000 MB...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 
08N TO 13N BETWEEN 123W AND 128W.

.SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 00N TO 15N AND E OF 100W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 15N97W TO 12N115W. ITCZ
FROM 10N128W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 116W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.