000
FZPN03 KNHC 131611
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN JUN 13 2021

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.8N 126.0W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN
13 MOVING WSW OR 250 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N124W TO 
11N126W TO 13N126W TO 13N125W TO 12N123W TO 11N124W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N122W TO 10N125W 
TO 11N123W TO 14N123W TO 13N121W TO 10N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.1N 127.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N126W
TO 09N128W TO 10N129W TO 12N128W TO 11N126W TO 09N126W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N124W TO 
10N125W TO 12N126W TO 12N129W TO 13N126W TO 11N124W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 128.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N127W TO 08N128W TO 10N130W TO 12N129W TO 
11N126W TO 09N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 11N125W TO 09N126W TO 11N127W TO 11N130W TO 
13N126W TO 11N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.0N 129.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 12.8N 129.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 15.2N 129.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 09N102W TO 09N110W TO 12N114W TO 12N102W TO 09N102W SW
TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N103W TO 07N107W TO 09N112W TO 
13N104W TO 11N100W TO 08N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN JUN 13...

.T.S. CARLOS NEAR 11.8N 126.0W 1000 MB...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 
08N TO 13N BETWEEN 123W AND 128W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N97W 1009MB...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE  
FROM 00N TO 16N AND E OF 100W 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 15N97W TO 13N104W TO 14N117W. ITCZ
FROM 10N129W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.