000
FZPN03 KNHC 061617
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 6 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT  8.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.1N 135.1W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
06 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N133W
TO 21N135W TO 23N138W TO 25N137W TO 26N134W TO 23N133W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N131W TO 
18N140W TO 27N140W TO 28N137W TO 25N131W TO 22N131W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 22.5N 136.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 22.9N 
137.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 23N135W
TO 25N137W TO 23N140W TO 26N140W TO 26N136W TO 23N135W WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N135W TO 23N137W TO
20N140W TO 27N140W TO 26N134W TO 23N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.2N 
138.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 25N139W
TO 24N140W TO 25N140W TO 26N139W TO 25N139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N140W TO 27N140W TO 
27N138W TO 25N136W TO 21N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.2N 
139.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...LOW DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 14.2N 106.6W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC
OCT 06 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF
CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N106W TO 13N106W TO 14N107W TO 15N107W
TO 14N106W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 13N106W TO 13N107W TO 14N107W TO 15N106W TO 14N105W TO 
13N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 14.5N 106.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N106W TO 13N107W TO 14N108W TO 15N107W 
TO 15N106W TO 14N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 14.8N 106.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. RADIUS 
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N106W TO 14N107W TO 15N108W TO 
15N106W TO 14N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 15.2N 107.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 15.7N 109.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 16.1N 110.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 13N94W TO 11N96W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 07N93W TO 06N97W TO 
10N101W TO 11N98W TO 15N94W TO 07N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 12N96W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO
14N94W TO 13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. WITHIN 07N94W TO 06N96W 
TO 08N97W TO 09N96W TO 08N93W TO 07N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N98W TO 01N105W TO 06N107W TO 07N102W
TO 07N95W TO 03N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO
SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 02N111W TO 03.4S101W TO 03.4S120W TO 09N124W TO 11N113W
TO 02N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S101W TO 00N127W TO 11N127W TO
11N116W TO 05N118W TO 03.4S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N122W TO 
03.4S104W TO 03.4S120W TO 13N127W TO 14N121W TO 05N122W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.

.WITHIN 03N138W TO 00N140W TO 14N140W TO 11N136W TO 03N138W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC TUE OCT 6...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N77W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 
11N94W 1008 MB AND TO 12N103W. IT RESUMES AT 14N110W TO LOW 
PRESSURE NEAR 11N122W 1008 MB TO 12N126W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 
12N135W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 113W-117W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 
NM SOUTH OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 119W-122W, AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH 
OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 117W-119 AND BETWEEN 123W-126W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.