000 FZPN03 KNHC 050917 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 05. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 06. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 07. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 20.8N 131.1W 993 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 05 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT N OF 10N AND W OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 20N124W TO 10N130W. FROM 00N TO 10N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.8N 133.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER... EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT N OF 15N W OF 130W. FROM 00N TO 15N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 22.4N 135.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 22.9N 136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 20N TO 28N W OF 132W. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.2N 138.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.0N 140.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...GALE WARNING... .WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 13N95.5W TO 11N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 13N95.5W TO 10N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 02N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N108W 1007 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OT LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 00N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 122W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14.5N109W 1006 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 00N TO 06N BETWEEN 100W AND 113W...AND FROM 00N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .06 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S93W TO 00S110W TO 00S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S95W TO 00S100W TO 00S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N AND W OF A LINE FROM 03.4S97W TO 00N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON OCT 5... .T.S. MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 12N90W TO 09N97W TO A 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W TO 12N112W TO 12N123W... THEN RESUMES W OF T.S. MARIE NEAR 12N131W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS OBSERVED FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 86W...FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W...AND FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.